ADP:EURONEXT PARISAeroports de Paris Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$220.44
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ADP’s stock trades at $220.44, roughly 10.9% above its DCF‑derived fair value of $204.21 yet still below analyst median targets near $240, indicating modest upside potential. The company posted a Q3 earnings beat, supporting a bullish MACD histogram (+1.25) and an RSI of 61.6, suggesting continued momentum without being overbought. Fundamentally, ADP delivers strong profitability (operating margin 30%, ROE 71%) and a healthy cash generation profile (free cash flow > $4.7B), while its dividend yield of 3.05% with a 60% payout appears sustainable. However, a 30‑day volatility of 36% and a low beta (~0.28) point to price swings that are more idiosyncratic than market‑driven. Overall, the stock balances solid growth fundamentals with a fair valuation relative to peers (P/E 20.6 vs industry 38), making it an attractive candidate for investors seeking both income and capital appreciation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and supportive RSI indicating upward momentum
- Recent earnings beat reinforcing revenue growth outlook
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Valuation near fair value with modest upside to analyst targets
- Strong cash flow and low leverage supporting operational stability
- Macro‑economic uncertainties deemed overstated by analysts
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- High ROE and recurring HCM subscription revenue driving durable growth
- Sustainable dividend reinforcing total return potential
- Secular demand for cloud‑based HR solutions underpinning long‑term outlook
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.00%
Profit Margin20.12%
P/E Ratio20.6
ROE71.21%
ROA5.95%
Debt/Equity69.26
P/B Ratio13.9
Op. Cash Flow$5.5B
Free Cash Flow$4.7B
Industry P/E38.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI61.6
Support$194.90
Resistance$227.43
MA 20$209.55
MA 50$206.14
MA 200$251.24
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.18
Valuation
Fair Value$204.21
Target Price$244.47
Upside/Downside10.90%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.05%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.29
Volatility36.24%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.