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ADP:EURONEXT PARISAeroports de Paris Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$220.44

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ADP’s stock trades at $220.44, roughly 10.9% above its DCF‑derived fair value of $204.21 yet still below analyst median targets near $240, indicating modest upside potential. The company posted a Q3 earnings beat, supporting a bullish MACD histogram (+1.25) and an RSI of 61.6, suggesting continued momentum without being overbought. Fundamentally, ADP delivers strong profitability (operating margin 30%, ROE 71%) and a healthy cash generation profile (free cash flow > $4.7B), while its dividend yield of 3.05% with a 60% payout appears sustainable. However, a 30‑day volatility of 36% and a low beta (~0.28) point to price swings that are more idiosyncratic than market‑driven. Overall, the stock balances solid growth fundamentals with a fair valuation relative to peers (P/E 20.6 vs industry 38), making it an attractive candidate for investors seeking both income and capital appreciation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and supportive RSI indicating upward momentum
  • Recent earnings beat reinforcing revenue growth outlook
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation near fair value with modest upside to analyst targets
  • Strong cash flow and low leverage supporting operational stability
  • Macro‑economic uncertainties deemed overstated by analysts

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • High ROE and recurring HCM subscription revenue driving durable growth
  • Sustainable dividend reinforcing total return potential
  • Secular demand for cloud‑based HR solutions underpinning long‑term outlook

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.00%
Profit Margin20.12%
P/E Ratio20.6
ROE71.21%
ROA5.95%
Debt/Equity69.26
P/B Ratio13.9
Op. Cash Flow$5.5B
Free Cash Flow$4.7B
Industry P/E38.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI61.6
Support$194.90
Resistance$227.43
MA 20$209.55
MA 50$206.14
MA 200$251.24
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.18

Valuation

Fair Value$204.21
Target Price$244.47
Upside/Downside10.90%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.05%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.29
Volatility36.24%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.